Acceptable risk / Baruch Fischhoff [and others].
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Other Authors: | |
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Format: | Book |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Cambridge ; New York :
Cambridge University Press,
1981.
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Subjects: |
Table of Contents:
- List of figures
- List of tables
- Preface
- How safe is safe enough?
- Definition of the acceptable-risk problem
- Acceptable risk as a decision problem
- Overview
- Summary
- Why is it so hard to resolve acceptable-risk problems?
- Five generic complexities
- Uncertainty about problem definition
- Difficulties in assessing the facts
- Difficulties in assessing values
- Uncertainties about the human element Difficulties in assessing decision quality
- Track record
- Summary
- Choosing an approach to acceptable risk: a metadecision problem
- Types of approaches
- Seven criteria for evaluating the acceptability of approaches to acceptable risk
- Summary
- Professional judgment
- How do professionals determine acceptable risk?
- Generic problems
- How adequate is professional judgment for resolving acceptable-risk questions?
- Summary
- Bootstrapping
- Methods of bootstrapping
- Generic problems
- How adequate are bootstrapping methods for resolving acceptable-risk questions?
- Summary
- Formal analysis
- Cost-benefit analysis
- Decision analysis
- Variants of cost-benefit analysis
- Decision analysis
- Generic problems
- How adequate are analytic techniques for resolving acceptable-risk problems?
- Summary
- Comparison of approaches
- Global ratings
- Choosing an approach
- Summary
- What have we learned?
- General conclusions about acceptable-risk decisions
- Summary
- Recommendations for improving acceptable-risk decision making
- Recommendations for the technical community
- Recommendations for public involvement
- Recommendations for the marketplace
- Recommendations for government
- Summary
- What do we need to learn?
- Research to reduce uncertainty about problem definition
- Research to reduce uncertainty about the facts
- Research to reduce uncertainty about values
- Research to reduce uncertainty about the human element
- Research to reduce uncertainty about decision quality
- An experimenting academe
- An experimenting society
- References
- Additional readings
- Index.