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|a HD61
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|a Acceptable risk /
|c Baruch Fischhoff [and others].
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|a Cambridge ;
|a New York :
|b Cambridge University Press,
|c 1981.
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300 |
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|a xv, 185 pages :
|b illustrations ;
|c 24 cm
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336 |
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|a text
|b txt
|2 rdacontent
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|a unmediated
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|p illustration
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|a Includes bibliographical references (pages 172-182) and index.
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|a List of figures -- List of tables -- Preface -- How safe is safe enough? -- Definition of the acceptable-risk problem -- Acceptable risk as a decision problem -- Overview -- Summary -- Why is it so hard to resolve acceptable-risk problems? -- Five generic complexities -- Uncertainty about problem definition -- Difficulties in assessing the facts -- Difficulties in assessing values -- Uncertainties about the human element Difficulties in assessing decision quality -- Track record -- Summary -- Choosing an approach to acceptable risk: a metadecision problem -- Types of approaches -- Seven criteria for evaluating the acceptability of approaches to acceptable risk -- Summary -- Professional judgment -- How do professionals determine acceptable risk? -- Generic problems -- How adequate is professional judgment for resolving acceptable-risk questions? -- Summary -- Bootstrapping -- Methods of bootstrapping -- Generic problems -- How adequate are bootstrapping methods for resolving acceptable-risk questions? -- Summary -- Formal analysis -- Cost-benefit analysis -- Decision analysis -- Variants of cost-benefit analysis -- Decision analysis -- Generic problems -- How adequate are analytic techniques for resolving acceptable-risk problems? -- Summary -- Comparison of approaches -- Global ratings -- Choosing an approach -- Summary -- What have we learned? -- General conclusions about acceptable-risk decisions -- Summary -- Recommendations for improving acceptable-risk decision making -- Recommendations for the technical community -- Recommendations for public involvement -- Recommendations for the marketplace -- Recommendations for government -- Summary -- What do we need to learn? -- Research to reduce uncertainty about problem definition -- Research to reduce uncertainty about the facts -- Research to reduce uncertainty about values -- Research to reduce uncertainty about the human element -- Research to reduce uncertainty about decision quality -- An experimenting academe -- An experimenting society -- References -- Additional readings -- Index.
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|a Risk.
|0 sh 85114195
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|a Risk management
|x Decision making.
|0 sh 85114200
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|a Fischhoff, Baruch,
|d 1946-
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